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Conference Papers Year : 2015

Fifty years of ground-motion models


It has now been over fifty years since the first model for the prediction of earthquake ground motions accounting for both magnitude and distance dependence was derived directly from strong-motion data (Esteva and Rosenblueth, 1964). These models are commonly known as: ground-motion models, ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) or attenuation relation(ship)s. They are one of the key components of seismic hazard assessment since they predict the median ground motion at a site and its variability given the occurrence of a particular earthquake at a certain distance. A summary of the history of GMPEs and suggestions for future developments are presented here.
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hal-01112180 , version 1 (02-02-2015)


  • HAL Id : hal-01112180 , version 1


John Douglas. Fifty years of ground-motion models. International Workshop on Ground Motion Prediction Equation and Seismic Hazard Assessment, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Japan, Mar 2015, Tokyo, Japan. ⟨hal-01112180⟩


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