hal-01112180
https://brgm.hal.science/hal-01112180
https://brgm.hal.science/hal-01112180/document
https://brgm.hal.science/hal-01112180/file/2015Workshop_Douglas.pdf
[BRGM] Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières
Fifty years of ground-motion models
Douglas, John
[SDU.STU.GP] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph]
COMM
ground-motion models
ground motion prediction equations
attenuation relations
seismic hazard assessment
aleatory variability
epistemic uncertainty
ground-motion simulations
It has now been over fifty years since the first model for the prediction of earthquake ground motions accounting for both magnitude and distance dependence was derived directly from strong-motion data (Esteva and Rosenblueth, 1964). These models are commonly known as: ground-motion models, ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) or attenuation relation(ship)s. They are one of the key components of seismic hazard assessment since they predict the median ground motion at a site and its variability given the occurrence of a particular earthquake at a certain distance. A summary of the history of GMPEs and suggestions for future developments are presented here.
2015-03-12
2015-02-02
en
International Workshop on Ground Motion Prediction Equation and Seismic Hazard Assessment
Tokyo, Japan